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Turkish Reformist Gul Named Presidential Candidate

Reuters
Apr 24, 2007

Turkey's Foreign Minister Abdullah Gul smiles during a press conference after his party's meeting at the parliament in Ankara, 24 April 2007. (AFP/Getty Images)


ANKARA—Turkey's ruling AK Party picked reformist Foreign Minister Abdullah Gul, a former Islamist, as its presidential candidate on Tuesday, but the main opposition party said it would boycott the vote in parliament.

A boycott by the fiercely secularist Republican People's Party (CHP) should not stop the AK Party from getting its man elected president thanks to their big majority in parliament.

But it raises the prospect of political turmoil that could upset financial markets, particularly if the CHP asks the Constitutional Court to annul the result as it threatened to do.

The CHP said after talks with Gul that it had decided not to take part in the voting process because of the AK Party's lack of consultation. The first voting round falls on April 27.

Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan had come under intense pressure from the secular elite, which includes army generals and judges, not to run for president himself because of fears he would undermine the republic's separation of state and religion.

By standing aside, Erdogan, Turkey's most popular politician, can focus on preparing and campaigning for his party in parliamentary elections that must be held by November.

Gul is a respected diplomat who has overseen the launch of European Union accession talks as foreign minister and was briefly prime minister when the party came to power in 2002.

Both he and Erdogan deny an Islamist agenda. Gul pledged that if elected he would act in line with the country's basic secular principles—established by modern Turkey's founder Mustafa Kemal Ataturk.

"Keeping Erdogan as leader of the party would improve the AK Party's standing in general elections later this year," said Serhan Cevik, an economist at bank Morgan Stanley.

Turkish financial markets recovered some lost ground after the news on Gul. The lira currency gained against the dollar and Istanbul's main share exchange index also trimmed losses.

Avoiding Confrontation

The presidential campaign has again brought to the surface the great divide among Turks over the role of religion in a country seeing fast economic and social change.

Gul's appointment may still stir some concern in the army, which has removed four governments in the past 50 years. His wife wears the Islamic headscarf, seen by Turkish secularists as a provocative symbol of religion.

Gul would be commander-in-chief of the military -- a possibly uncomfortable experience for an institution that sees itself as the ultimate guardian of the state. Gul spent his honeymoon in a military jail during the 1980 coup.

"Despite the fact that his wife wears the headscarf, Gul, a gently-spoken moderate politician, is more trusted by the military and the secularist establishment than other AK Party leaders," said Wolfango Piccoli, a Turkey analyst at the Eurasia political risk consultancy.

Senior members of the AK Party had feared the party would lose votes in the general election if Erdogan became president and quit party politics. If the AK Party loses votes there is a strong chance it would have to form a coalition government with nationalist parties, jeopardising reforms.

Under Erdogan Turkey has achieved strong economic growth and secured the 2005 launch of EU entry talks.

But the government was shaken earlier this month, when more than 350,000 people rallied in Ankara against a possible Erdogan presidency. It was one of the largest protests in years.

The armed forces chief General Yasar Buyukanit and outgoing President Ahmet Necdet Sezer have warned of threats posed to the republic in comments seen as warnings to Erdogan.

In Turkey, the government holds most power but the president can veto laws, veto appointments of officials and appoint judges. As successor to Ataturk, the president carries great moral weight.

Gul will be the first Turkish president with an Islamist past. His appointment would remove a key thorn in the side of the AK Party. Sezer frequently vetoed laws and promotions.


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